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Rabat – Morocco have been projected to win the country’s first Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) title since 1976, according to a new AFCON Supercomputer.
The Supercomputer conducted by AFCON betting specialists BookmakersCameroun.com predicts the tournament hosts to go all the way, defeating Senegal 1-0 in the final.
Senegal themselves will knock out defending champions Ivory Coast in the semi-finals with a convincing 3-0 win. In the other last four ties, projected winners Morocco will beat Uganda 1-0, with The Cranes defeating Ivory Coast on penalties in the Bronze Final.
In the biggest shock of the competition, Egypt and Mohamed Salah are projected to suffer an upset at the round of 16 stage in a 1-0 defeat to Comoros.
Elsewhere, South Africa and Algeria, who both qualified for next year’s World Cup, will reach the quarter-final stage while fellow participants Tunisia will fail to make the knockout stages.
AFCON Supercomputer knockout stages
Round of 16: Senegal 3, Mozambique 1; Mali 4, Nigeria 2; Morocco 4, Sudan 1; South Africa 2, Gabon 0; Egypt 0, Comoros 1; Uganda 4, Angola 2; Algeria 4, DR Congo 1; Ivory Coast 1, Burkina Faso 1 (Ivory Coast won on pens)
Quarter-finals: Mali 2, Senegal 2 (Senegal won on pens); South Africa 0, Morocco 4; Algeria 0, Uganda 1;Comoros 1, Ivory Coast 2
Semi-Finals: Senegal 3, Ivory Coast 0; Uganda 0, Morocco 1
Bronze Final: Ivory Coast 2, Uganda 2 (Uganda won on pens)
Final: Senegal 0, Morocco 1
How the Supercomputer works
The AFCON Supercomputer is a probability model, not determined by human predictions or bias. What happens is, the Supercomputer estimates the outcome of each AFCON fixture based on a team’s current strength — based on factors such as league position and form — and betting-market odds. The machine then simulates the remaining games 10,000 times, and constructs the group stages and the knockout phase based on these simulations to rule out anomalous results.
